HIGH PROBABILITY ADVISORS LLC
Q1 2025 Form 13-F
PITTSFORD, NEW YORK
CIK 0002039415
· CRD 289541
· SEC-registered investment adviser
$599.6M Reported Value Total
HIGH PROBABILITY ADVISORS, LLC reports 695 total accounts under management (AUM). There are 662 discretionary accounts valued at $783,595,311, and 33 non-discretionary accounts valued at $29,834,570.
Source: Form ADV filed * Note that certain holdings are exempt from Form 13-F reporting, so the AUM totals may be greater than the Form 13-F total.
Source: Form ADV filed 2026-05-19
Reported value
$599.6M
Quarter over quarter
-0.3%
Holdings
55
Top-10 concentration
67.0%
Key People
Form ADV owners & control persons
Stephen Joseph Carl
CHIEF EXECUTIVE OFFICER, MANAGING MEMBER
Michael Edward Jones
CHIEF INVESTMENT OFFICER
Jeffrey Scott Coons
CHIEF COMPLIANCE OFFICER
Filing Navigation
13F Metrics
Loading 13F Metrics
Q1 2025 13F record
Q1 2025 13F filing summary
| Period of report | March 31, 2025 |
|---|---|
| Filed | April 16, 2025 |
| Form | 13F-HR |
| Reported value | $599.6M |
| Positions | 55 |
| Change in reported value | +7.5% |
| New positions | 1 |
| Exited positions | 1 |
| Position turnover | 3.6% |
| Top-10 concentration | 67.0% |
13F filings by quarter
| Quarter | Positions | Value |
|---|---|---|
|
Q3 2026 13F
Filed Oct 19, 2026
|
71 | $892.2M |
|
Q2 2026 13F
Filed Jul 13, 2026
|
75 | $935.0M |
|
Q1 2026 13F
Filed Apr 13, 2026
|
67 | $781.4M |
|
Q4 2025 13F
Filed Jan 29, 2026
|
73 | $749.9M |
|
Q3 2025 13F
Filed Oct 14, 2025
|
65 | $729.3M |
|
Q2 2025 13F
Filed Jul 9, 2025
|
60 | $668.7M |
|
Q1 2025 13F
Filed Apr 16, 2025
|
55 | $599.6M |
|
Q4 2024 13F
Filed Jan 17, 2025
|
55 | $557.8M |
|
Q3 2024 13F
Filed Nov 12, 2024
|
57 | $587.2M |
|
Q2 2024 13F
Filed Nov 14, 2024
|
54 | $551.5M |
|
Q1 2024 13F
Filed Nov 14, 2024
|
56 | $539.1M |
|
Q4 2023 13F
Filed Nov 14, 2024
|
54 | $495.6M |
|
Q3 2023 13F
Filed Nov 14, 2024
|
51 | $463.9M |
|
Q2 2023 13F
Filed Nov 14, 2024
|
47 | $466.0M |
|
Q1 2023 13F
Filed Nov 14, 2024
|
43 | $428.1M |
|
Q4 2022 13F
Filed Nov 14, 2024
|
44 | $365.3M |
|
Q3 2022 13F
Filed Nov 14, 2024
|
42 | $319.5M |
|
Q2 2022 13F
Filed Nov 14, 2024
|
44 | $315.8M |
|
Q1 2022 13F
Filed Nov 14, 2024
|
45 | $306.1M |
|
Q4 2021 13F
Filed Nov 14, 2024
|
41 | $269.3M |
4 earlier quarters on file — choose one from the quarter menu above.
Top 20 holdings · Q1 2025
| # | Holding | Reported value | % of portfolio |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | GSLC GOLDMAN SACHS ETF TR | $81.9M | 13.66% |
| 2 | MTUM ISHARES TR | $59.9M | 10.0% |
| 3 | DUHP DIMENSIONAL ETF TRUST | $43.7M | 7.29% |
| 4 | GSIE GOLDMAN SACHS ETF TR | $35.7M | 5.95% |
| 5 | NYF ISHARES TR | $33.5M | 5.59% |
| 6 | DIHP DIMENSIONAL ETF TRUST | $33.1M | 5.52% |
| 7 | USMV ISHARES TR | $32.7M | 5.45% |
| 8 | SCHO SCHWAB STRATEGIC TR | $30.4M | 5.07% |
| 9 | SCHR SCHWAB STRATEGIC TR | $28.2M | 4.71% |
| 10 | FVAL FIDELITY COVINGTON TRUST | $22.5M | 3.75% |
| 11 | SPIB SPDR SER TR | $21.8M | 3.64% |
| 12 | AVUV AMERICAN CENTY ETF TR | $21.1M | 3.52% |
| 13 | DYNF BLACKROCK ETF TRUST | $19.2M | 3.2% |
| 14 | FQAL FIDELITY COVINGTON TRUST | $18.0M | 3.0% |
| 15 | AVEM AMERICAN CENTY ETF TR | $17.7M | 2.94% |
| 16 | SHYG ISHARES TR | $16.6M | 2.77% |
| 17 | IUSV ISHARES TR | $13.7M | 2.29% |
| 18 | IVLU ISHARES TR | $12.3M | 2.05% |
| 19 | FNDC SCHWAB STRATEGIC TR | $10.9M | 1.82% |
| 20 | SPTL SPDR SER TR | $8.8M | 1.47% |
Values as reported on the Q1 2025 Form 13F. Every position is in the holdings table below.