HIGH PROBABILITY ADVISORS LLC
Q3 2022 Form 13-F

PITTSFORD, NEW YORK
CIK 0002039415 · CRD 289541 · SEC-registered investment adviser
$319.5M Reported Value Total

HIGH PROBABILITY ADVISORS, LLC reports 424 total accounts under management (AUM). There are 412 discretionary accounts valued at $426,691,529, and 12 non-discretionary accounts valued at $32,136,810.

Source: Form ADV filed * Note that certain holdings are exempt from Form 13-F reporting, so the AUM totals may be greater than the Form 13-F total.
SEC Registered Discretionary & Non-Discretionary
Source: Form ADV filed 2026-05-19
Reported value
$319.5M
Quarter over quarter
-6.4%
Holdings
42
Top-10 concentration
66.7%

Key People

Form ADV owners & control persons
Stephen Joseph Carl
CHIEF EXECUTIVE OFFICER, MANAGING MEMBER
Michael Edward Jones
CHIEF INVESTMENT OFFICER
Jeffrey Scott Coons
CHIEF COMPLIANCE OFFICER

Filing Navigation

13F Metrics

Loading 13F Metrics

Q3 2022 13F record

Q3 2022 13F filing summary

Q3 2022 Form 13F portfolio summary
Period of report September 30, 2022
Filed November 14, 2024
Form 13F-HR
Reported value $319.5M
Positions 42
Change in reported value +1.2%
New positions 2
Exited positions 4
Position turnover 13.0%
Top-10 concentration 66.7%

13F filings by quarter

Form 13F filings by quarter
Quarter Positions Value
Q3 2026 13F
Filed Oct 19, 2026
71 $892.2M
Q2 2026 13F
Filed Jul 13, 2026
75 $935.0M
Q1 2026 13F
Filed Apr 13, 2026
67 $781.4M
Q4 2025 13F
Filed Jan 29, 2026
73 $749.9M
Q3 2025 13F
Filed Oct 14, 2025
65 $729.3M
Q2 2025 13F
Filed Jul 9, 2025
60 $668.7M
Q1 2025 13F
Filed Apr 16, 2025
55 $599.6M
Q4 2024 13F
Filed Jan 17, 2025
55 $557.8M
Q3 2024 13F
Filed Nov 12, 2024
57 $587.2M
Q2 2024 13F
Filed Nov 14, 2024
54 $551.5M
Q1 2024 13F
Filed Nov 14, 2024
56 $539.1M
Q4 2023 13F
Filed Nov 14, 2024
54 $495.6M
Q3 2023 13F
Filed Nov 14, 2024
51 $463.9M
Q2 2023 13F
Filed Nov 14, 2024
47 $466.0M
Q1 2023 13F
Filed Nov 14, 2024
43 $428.1M
Q4 2022 13F
Filed Nov 14, 2024
44 $365.3M
Q3 2022 13F
Filed Nov 14, 2024
42 $319.5M
Q2 2022 13F
Filed Nov 14, 2024
44 $315.8M
Q1 2022 13F
Filed Nov 14, 2024
45 $306.1M
Q4 2021 13F
Filed Nov 14, 2024
41 $269.3M

4 earlier quarters on file — choose one from the quarter menu above.

Top 20 holdings · Q3 2022

Largest Q3 2022 13F positions by reported value
# Holding Reported value % of portfolio
1 GSLC GOLDMAN SACHS ETF TR $52.0M 16.27%
2 DUHP DIMENSIONAL ETF TRUST $22.5M 7.05%
3 GSIE GOLDMAN SACHS ETF TR $21.4M 6.69%
4 SCHO SCHWAB STRATEGIC TR $21.2M 6.62%
5 USMV ISHARES TR $18.5M 5.79%
6 IEI ISHARES TR $17.8M 5.56%
7 FVAL FIDELITY COVINGTON TRUST $16.4M 5.14%
8 SPIB SPDR SER TR $16.1M 5.05%
9 NYF ISHARES TR $13.8M 4.31%
10 SHYG ISHARES TR $13.4M 4.18%
11 MTUM ISHARES TR $13.2M 4.14%
12 SLYV SPDR SER TR $12.1M 3.77%
13 DIHP DIMENSIONAL ETF TRUST $12.0M 3.74%
14 IUSV ISHARES TR $10.2M 3.2%
15 IVLU ISHARES TR $8.6M 2.69%
16 AVEM AMERICAN CENTY ETF TR $7.8M 2.43%
17 FNDC SCHWAB STRATEGIC TR $6.6M 2.07%
18 FQAL FIDELITY COVINGTON TRUST $6.2M 1.94%
19 GSSC GOLDMAN SACHS ETF TR $4.7M 1.48%
20 DEEF DBX ETF TR $4.6M 1.45%

Values as reported on the Q3 2022 Form 13F. Every position is in the holdings table below.

Filing Details

Loading Activities
Loading Sector Allocation
Crunching numbers

Performance

Loading Performance

Potential New Buys

Finding Potential New Buys

Holdings

Building table
Loading SEC filing data
Loading Form 4 Filings

Beneficial Ownership (Schedule 13D/13G)

Loading 13D/G filings